Could a Cybercab business work under your assumptions?
Explore estimated passenger revenue, owner receipts, operating costs, monthly cash flow, break-even, and ownership returns. Start with a short guided setup or open the full model; every material assumption stays editable and source-labeled.
No registration is required to calculate. Create a free account only when you want to save independently named scenarios and reopen them on another device. Comparisons currently use modeled business scenarios—not observed Cybercab results.
Every value is editable and source-labeled.
Set up your scenario
Editable estimateChoose the location, vehicle count and intended use for this scenario. You can change these anytime.
What will the vehicle cost?
Editable estimateThis is an editable planning assumption—not a confirmed Tesla retail price.
How would you acquire it?
Editable estimateWhen do you expect it to earn?
Editable estimateFinancing, insurance, and other fixed obligations continue during a delay.
Where will it charge?
Editable estimateCompatibility for a future customer-sale Cybercab is unresolved. Ordinary AC Level 2 is not assumed.
Who handles day-to-day operations?
Editable estimateWho handles cleaning?
Editable estimateYear 1 · pre-tax · per scheduled business vehicle-hour
A deployed hour is allocated to the business inside its scheduled operating window, including idle and support time—not just passenger time. Personal-use time is outside this denominator.
6,300 fleet vehicle-hours ÷ 1 vehicle = 6,300 hours per vehicle.
- Cash after financing / deployed hour
- $2.47 /hour
- Economic profit / deployed hour
- $1.81 /hour
- Cash break-even owner receipts / hour
- $5.97 /hour
- Economic break-even owner receipts / hour
- $6.62 /hour
Recurring business cash after loan or lease payments; before valuing unpaid owner time. Excludes one-time replacement spending and resale proceeds.
Same business economic profit as the annual result, including modeled capital wear and owner labor; loan principal is not an expense.
Required receipts after platform deductions to cover recurring business cash costs and financing.
Required receipts after platform deductions to cover the modeled economic costs, including noncash wear and owner labor.
These thresholds cover the whole plan at its modeled workload. They are not passenger fares, guaranteed payouts, or a rule for accepting an individual ride. A high hourly value can still accompany a poor annual return.
| Activity | Hours | % of schedule |
|---|---|---|
| Ordinary paid passenger trips | 3,028.6 | 48.1% |
| Pickup time (when separately known) | 0 | 0% |
| Pickup + other repositioning (combined) | 664.8 | 10.6% |
| Charger travel | 0 | 0% |
| Charging queue | 0 | 0% |
| Charging session | 0 | 0% |
| Charging connection / handling | 0 | 0% |
| Unitemized charging allowance | 315 | 5% |
| Cleaning, maintenance, weather / unavailable | 295.7 | 4.7% |
| Exclusive reservations (requested commitment) | 0 | 0% |
| Uncommitted idle time | 1,995.9 | 31.7% |
| Required non-idle time | 4,304.1 | — |
Passenger time / scheduled business time: 48.1%. Occupied-mile share: 82% of commercial vehicle miles. Time and mileage utilization are different measures.
- Legacy pickup/repositioning is combined. This ledger assumes the unitemized charging allowance is non-driving support and counts empty travel separately. If that allowance already includes charger travel, enter session details before relying on this time breakdown.
Hourly calculation details and assumptions
- Owner receipts / deployed hour
- $8.44 /hour
- Operating contribution / deployed hour
- $3.36 /hour
Payout before owner expenses—not profit.
After recurring operating cash costs, before financing, depreciation and unpaid labor.
- Owner receipts
- $53,151.93
- Recurring business cash costs
- $31,958.19
- Allocated loan / lease payments
- $5,635.05
- Recurring cash after financing
- $15,558.68
- Business economic costs
- $41,735.75
- Business economic profit
- $11,416.18
Each amount above is the year-one fleet numerator; divide by 6,300 scheduled business vehicle-hours. These are planning estimates, not observed performance.
Pre-tax, per scheduled business vehicle-hour. Recurring cash excludes startup purchases, replacement spending and residual sale proceeds; these remain in the existing cash-flow/payback view.
Economic profit uses the existing business cost basis: interest, depreciation, charging capital consumption, applicable lease payments, modeled replacement expenses and imputed owner labor; loan principal is excluded.
Economic profit includes the entered value of owner labor. Unpaid labor is not a cash expense.
Break-even receipts are required total owner payouts after platform deductions at this activity level, including any reservation or availability-contract receipts; not gross fares or an individual-ride acceptance threshold.
The first-year time and money totals use the same monthly operating days and fleet size. Unused hours in one month do not make an overcommitted month feasible.
Tasks are sequential except the explicitly entered stationary-charging/service overlap. No time-of-day dispatch or concurrent cleaning schedule is modeled. Empty-travel time uses the existing pace assumption; manual duration controls passenger trips only.
Current working plan: “Scenario 1” · Base case · not yet saved
Customer spending, platform deductions, and owner receipts remain separate. Direct payouts are never charged a second platform fee.
Transparent hypothetical adjustments—not a Tesla pricing forecast.
A matched cohort of 200 synthetic scenarios places your assumption against the median and middle 50%—without presenting demo data as market fact.
Launch delay, ramp, seasonality, and fixed obligations are visible month by month.
Cumulative operating cash after acquisition equity and debt payments.
Acquisition and capital-structure views.
Cash costs plus straight-line depreciation.
Austin metro · 200 matched demo scenarios
One-at-a-time downside tests, ranked by annual impact.
Transparent rules focused on decisions an owner can make.
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